Mls · resolved market
Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x871c868c9b6216db9af21ef2e4e75e7074f1163795ea5801865fbfd08b8b25a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rapids SCof St. Louis City SC, Colorado Rapids SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Colorado Rapids SC | 68c | 3,115$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.9 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed St. Louis City SC | 28c | 1,968$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.41 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed St. Louis City SC | 31c | 969$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis City SC | 30c | 726.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rapids SC | 80c | 388.29$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis City SC | 23c | 378.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked St. Louis City SC | 35c | 363.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rapids SC | 73c | 129.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed St. Louis City SC | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked St. Louis City SC | 34c | 123.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked St. Louis City SC | 18c | 87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Louis City SC | 18c | 82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rapids SC | 68c | 81.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Colorado Rapids SC | 53c | 78.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed St. Louis City SC | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rapids SC | 66c | 47.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Colorado Rapids SC | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Colorado Rapids SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.