Mls · resolved market
St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d2e26b667a080415ca8eebee719f37381ba451f00cd12b481e4b50b69053bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 25c | 2,998$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.57 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 1,116$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.9 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 29c | 950.29$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.43 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 48c | 791.66$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.66 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 462.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.98 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 74c | 322.73$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 77c | 309.55$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 32c | 229.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 32c | 221.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 18c | 213$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 52c | 156.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 65c | 121$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 19c | 120$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 32c | 110.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Over | 31c | 97.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 96.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 66c | 83.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 53c | 76.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 80c | 76.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 75c | 76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 48c | 75.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 60c | 62.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Under | 54c | 59.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 19c | 54.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 51.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 42c | 40.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf799…6055backed Under | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 34c | 34.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ed1backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 60c | 24.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 80c | 22.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b11dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 78c | 19.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…1e6ebacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Colorado Rapids SC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.