TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$251,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Under47c161,169$74,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,195.055650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over53c46,880$24,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,846.41533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over55c35,491$19,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,554.0128940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over42c23,730$9,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,979.782,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over58c11,094$6,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,395.3649136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under43c9,971$4,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,683.2519952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c8,040$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,996.468,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over54c8,028$4,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,335.412755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over53c6,850$3,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,630.542962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over52c5,540$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.9619846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over54c5,050$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,72717055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c4,900$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.361,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over53c4,096$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.984431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9916543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over53c3,865$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.666350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c3,697$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.475,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over53c3,230$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.6414540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over38c2,678$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.2575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under59c2,528$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.82864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over56c2,500$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.921,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over55c2,500$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.961,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over52c2,238$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.357540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c2,209$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.021,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c2,097$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.53,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1605850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under42c1,870$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.813342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under56c1,546$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.937950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7802365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over51c1,280$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.5964633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under64c1,198$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3855250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c1,189$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.252,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under48c1,123$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.512259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over55c1,100$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.56243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over29c993.81$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6419155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c6…4727backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.812156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c650.51$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.451,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under75c555.91$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.9735046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over60c535.29$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Over53c509.43$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4019…5506backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6a…ef21backed Over50c499.99$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Over52c495.98$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over33c493.41$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8319135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over54c486$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over18c484.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1721044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under69c471.13$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over53c449$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9772058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Over53c429.29$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5213856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Over56c408$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.296253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over47c399.98$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9918631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over60c395$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2371741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over54c391.5$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.379551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over29c332.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2233152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over33c307.3$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0585220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over51c285$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.67028.6%20 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over53c284.32$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9515651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over58c279.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9914643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over49c278.61$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4951750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over56c270$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.853852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over53c268.26$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.189054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c247$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.261,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c247$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.261,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under70c241.16$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.241,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c220.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.972,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.337347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over55c180$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.425345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under42c178.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.482548%12 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under42c150.01$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8141654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c147.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.71,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under41c143.3$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.412,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under42c137$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4610922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c128$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.617951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over53c125.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7228665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over53c119.6$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9940451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over54c113.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over53c111.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0211848.3%57 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Over53c100.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.419164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over16c93.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9982434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under63c89.13$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.132556%14 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over53c88.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7411858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under43c86.95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.564858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over34c81.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0151945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9e…53c2backed Over58c80.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Under50c77.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over27c76.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3717051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under40c74.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8942462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over20c74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.829245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Under71c70.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.631266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81c…d3fabacked Over34c70.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under64c68.59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.691,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under41c67.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.543256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Over53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.