TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c3,266$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.738,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over38c1,344$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.5851750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over52c785.95$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.412,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over51c783.9$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.791,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over51c776.57$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.051,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over51c406.43$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3689645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over35c342.6$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under67c290.54$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.423,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under63c247.95$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.733152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under49c240$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.625345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under49c199.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7155250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over39c170.76$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1235246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under49c145.22$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0616160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c140$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.62,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over36c139.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over22c109$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.871,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Under59c78.79$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.110935.8%39 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over30c74.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4864633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.972258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under79c58.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over34c57.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.331,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under52c51.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7669453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over48c48.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over27c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3644843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Under51c31.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1315552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under62c29.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2215554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under69c26.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.331,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under56c23.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3863261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under49c20.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6115651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.