South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dad85b9f7c39232f7856d3c66c8fc7e7d79eb5b7b01b61e4afef8d77d9fe542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club León FCof Club Tijuana, Club León FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Club Tijuana | 17c | 5,580$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.77 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Club Tijuana | 27c | 4,777$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.07 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Club León FC | 73c | 1,577$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.79 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Club Tijuana | 27c | 1,266$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.77 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Club Tijuana | 29c | 898.69$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Club Tijuana | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Club León FC | 71c | 836.69$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.64 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club León FC | 72c | 421.21$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Club Tijuana | 24c | 416.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Club León FC | 73c | 321.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed Club León FC | 76c | 290.93$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Club Tijuana | 25c | 288.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked Club León FC | 75c | 288.6$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Club Tijuana | 21c | 219.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Club Tijuana | 20c | 217.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Club León FC | 74c | 180.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Club León FC | 74c | 176$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Club León FC | 77c | 165.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Club León FC | 80c | 149.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Club Tijuana | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Club León FC | 73c | 147.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…262bbacked Club León FC | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Club León FC | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Club León FC | 78c | 129.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Club Tijuana | 24c | 128.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Club León FC | 73c | 128$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Club Tijuana | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Club Tijuana | 14c | 97.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Club Tijuana | 18c | 95.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club León FC | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Club León FC | 73c | 65.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Club León FC | 73c | 64.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Club León FC | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Club León FC | 74c | 55.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Club Tijuana | 22c | 50.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Club León FC | 79c | 43.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…cc35backed Club León FC | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Club Tijuana | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Club León FC | 77c | 36.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Club León FC | 73c | 31.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Club León FC | 72c | 28.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Club León FC | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Club León FC | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Club León FC | 73c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Club León FC | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club León FC (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club León FC (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)Club León FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.