South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x927f8e898e56fa1014c9776cceda387ae4c4598c4e3a9789f8823ef5ee0b7035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 8,424$6,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.39 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 5,930$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.34 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 34c | 2,537$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.31 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 21c | 2,021$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.99 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 69c | 1,291$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.3 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 34c | 1,189$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.36 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 784.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 34c | 276$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 263.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 66c | 241.69$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 34c | 229.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 35c | 221.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 171.64$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 34c | 166.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 77c | 163.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 37c | 160.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 66c | 154.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 69c | 128$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 35c | 123.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 77c | 57.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 35c | 57.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 66c | 45.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 66c | 45.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 33c | 38.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…7a60backed Over | 34c | 37.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Under | 77c | 33.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 68c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4ed8backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 77c | 14.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Club León FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Club Tijuana O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club León FC (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club León FC (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Club Tijuana (-2.5)Club León FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.