South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfaef201394f2a3ff0490fb01687f945db3f8969c4f4c42cb0cb704208f52ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Juárezof CD Guadalajara, FC Juárez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed CD Guadalajara | 46c | 9,314$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.74 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked FC Juárez | 54c | 5,176$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Juárez | 58c | 3,939$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Juárez | 54c | 3,091$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.64 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CD Guadalajara | 37c | 2,989$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.81 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed CD Guadalajara | 46c | 2,929$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.34 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed FC Juárez | 54c | 1,053$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.07 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Juárez | 57c | 961.93$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.45 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked FC Juárez | 55c | 844.75$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.69 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CD Guadalajara | 45c | 714.5$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.48 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed CD Guadalajara | 3c | 698.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CD Guadalajara | 46c | 522.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.47 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked CD Guadalajara | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Juárez | 54c | 460$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.43 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked CD Guadalajara | 43c | 420$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked FC Juárez | 55c | 364.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.41 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed FC Juárez | 54c | 363.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.01 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Juárez | 53c | 356$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed FC Juárez | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed FC Juárez | 54c | 272$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed CD Guadalajara | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FC Juárez | 53c | 239.2$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked CD Guadalajara | 30c | 159.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked FC Juárez | 54c | 144.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC Juárez | 63c | 141.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…bc96backed CD Guadalajara | 41c | 130.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed FC Juárez | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed CD Guadalajara | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked FC Juárez | 61c | 115.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4942…3558backed CD Guadalajara | 40c | 112.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed FC Juárez | 54c | 95.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed CD Guadalajara | 40c | 81.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FC Juárez | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CD Guadalajara | 51c | 74.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed CD Guadalajara | 44c | 67.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed FC Juárez | 54c | 66.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked FC Juárez | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked FC Juárez | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FC Juárez | 55c | 58.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked CD Guadalajara | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Juárez | 54c | 52.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed FC Juárez | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed FC Juárez | 53c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed FC Juárez | 54c | 36.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed FC Juárez | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked FC Juárez | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed CD Guadalajara | 43c | 29.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed FC Juárez | 54c | 28.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Juárez | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed FC Juárez | 55c | 22.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed FC Juárez | 59c | 21.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked CD Guadalajara | 50c | 21.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed FC Juárez | 59c | 20.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked FC Juárez | 55c | 18.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: CD Guadalajara O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 0.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.