MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdac46d46ec46afe0b141bfd9f09838dbe103b3dadd18d5d79d4535d50531e5b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,999.93 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 54,545$29,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,454.54 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 44,781$21,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,610.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 25,875$11,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,199.88 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 22,222$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.88 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 20,026$9,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,796.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 16,458$7,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,722.57 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 14,997$7,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,948.41 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 14,000$6,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,460 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 12,500$6,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,625 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 10,100$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,252 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 8,346$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.18 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 6,122$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.66 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 5,769$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.5 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 5,236$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.05 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…aed8backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 5,093$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.42 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 4,770$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.16 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 3,856$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.46 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 3,707$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.61 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 3,231$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.33 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.89 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,692$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.74 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 16c | 2,669$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.07 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,587$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.53 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,495$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 16c | 1,407$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.82 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,386$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,327$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,302$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.25 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,260$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,259$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.45 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,199$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,131$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.73 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,064$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.19 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,064$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.15 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 1,024$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.44 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 999.83$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.4 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 929.03$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 797.87$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.87 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 772.5$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.2 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 763.63$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.7 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 734.78$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.96 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 731.74$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.36 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 722.01$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…d177backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 623.22$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.55 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 610$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 591$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.23 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 589.84$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.09 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 565.93$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…a4aebacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 515.81$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.38 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 513.61$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 479.59$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.39 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 474.19$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.03 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 438.52$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.26 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 430.38$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.14 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…a43ebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 406.31$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.94 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 381.79$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.17 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 381$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 370.75$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 360.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 360$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 360$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 351.61$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.97 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…76c6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 313$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 298$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 289.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 280$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 274.01$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…293fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 246.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 244.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 231.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 216$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.