TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Pittsburgh Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,197 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs34c700$238 inWon+$4621,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs36c579.91$212 inWon+$368.3811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates39c519.64$203 inLost-$202.6626545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates65c454.57$295 inLost-$295.4710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs28c420$118 inWon+$302.45,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates72c240.71$173 inLost-$173.112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed Pittsburgh Pirates56c202.93$114 inLost-$113.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+54.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Pittsburgh Pirates72c200.82$144 inLost-$144.355448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c139.5$54 inLost-$53.8552750.1%264 W · 263 L+19.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs43c111.31$48 inWon+$63.164,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates39c67$26 inLost-$26.134,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked Pittsburgh Pirates74c62.36$46 inLost-$45.8913048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Chicago Cubs28c46.57$13 inWon+$33.5363954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates51c40.31$21 inLost-$20.561,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates62c37.27$23 inLost-$23.238234.1%28 W · 54 L-10.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates55c33.17$18 inLost-$18.358,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs33c33$11 inWon+$22.198,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c28.46$11 inLost-$11.112050.8%61 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates65c20.46$13 inLost-$13.328948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.