MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc7fa48047453e6668e3da39c57eecf1277e0694cf92cf6fb3fdc035d624230

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $368,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $369,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,512 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	49c	349,535$171,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171,990.35	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over	48c	116,241$55,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,445.3	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	57c	102,286$58,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,223.51	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Over	48c	54,046$25,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,103.76	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Over	47c	18,888$8,877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,010.64	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+28%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	50c	11,937$5,966 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,970.48	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,300	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,300	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	55c	8,668$4,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,910.97	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	54c	3,648$1,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,692	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	48c	3,139$1,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,645.76	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	46c	3,138$1,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,688.17	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under	52c	3,077$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	115	40%46 W · 69 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	47c	2,222$1,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,177.66	737	48.4%357 W · 380 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	48c	1,236$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.56	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	48c	975$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$511.06	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under	52c	961.53$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	-19.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb638…20b0backed Over	60c	833.33$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.33	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-6.7wins	-0.35per pick	51cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over	48c	833.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.33	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under	52c	800$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	328	50%164 W · 164 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	69c	766.83$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.3	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	60c	727.74$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.91	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over	47c	531$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.43	187	41.2%77 W · 110 L	-11.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	60c	505$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.85	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Under	52c	481.55$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	151	49.7%75 W · 76 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	48c	480$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.6	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under	51c	399.99$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.99	442	45.5%201 W · 241 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over	59c	394.64$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.36	556	45.3%252 W · 304 L	-17.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	48c	391$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.32	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over	58c	334.31$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.46	299	50.5%151 W · 148 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	47c	303$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.06	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over	71c	300$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	43	67.4%29 W · 14 L	+7.8wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Under	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	221	49.3%109 W · 112 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over	57c	261.45$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.05	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	49c	225$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.75	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Over	48c	217.53$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.12	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Under	49c	199.63$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.61	241	49%118 W · 123 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Under	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	372	56.5%210 W · 162 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	49c	173.35$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.38	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over	47c	171.38$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.24	952	52.9%504 W · 448 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over	62c	161$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.94	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over	61c	160.08$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.43	1,000	58.8%588 W · 412 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over	59c	157.85$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.34	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd22…430ebacked Under	46c	152.53$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Under	49c	150$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.9	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-8.9wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Over	51c	120$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.96	554	48.2%267 W · 287 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over	57c	106.38$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.86	289	48.1%139 W · 150 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Under	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	770	50.5%389 W · 381 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Under	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	173	48%83 W · 90 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf247…59f9backed Over	48c	93.75$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.75	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Over	49c	89.35$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.57	243	50.6%123 W · 120 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Over	64c	87.53$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.51	182	72%131 W · 51 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	71c	76.02$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.79	1,814	49.1%891 W · 923 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc11d…0123backed Over	49c	68.33$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.85	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	412	49.5%204 W · 208 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x757c…d1bfbacked Over	48c	53.96$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.06	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over	48c	53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.56	356	50.6%180 W · 176 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over	61c	51.15$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	1,205	58.8%708 W · 497 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	48c	42.5$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.89	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58d3…5651backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x302b…7a54backed Under	46c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.4	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-6.3wins	-0.15per pick	34cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f25…e9a5backed Over	58c	39.38$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.6	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0d0…028abacked Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ae…61b5backed Over	54c	36.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.76	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc53c…406bbacked Over	56c	36.41$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.88	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	51c	30.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.86	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	48c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	788	54.6%430 W · 358 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Over	62c	28.07$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	552	59.6%329 W · 223 L	+11.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed Over	56c	23.82$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.58	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa94…b3f4backed Over	48c	21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over	49c	20.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.41	536	55.8%299 W · 237 L	+22.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	52c	20.02$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0882…dceabacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x765b…5043backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxNew York Yankees won
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event