MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb911aea57d22a3c5653208f384b9b963e75710257e2ef9555d2959ced6af41e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 10,000$6,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,850 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 42c | 7,890$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.17 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 34c | 5,624$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,737.17 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees | 39c | 4,554$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.15 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 2,066$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.14 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 2,048$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.4 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 2,035$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.05 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 2,028$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.57 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 21c | 1,316$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.03 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox | 8c | 979.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…4ae7backed New York Yankees | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed New York Yankees | 29c | 570.48$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.04 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 515.14$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Chicago White Sox | 19c | 489.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 6c | 470$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 32c | 351.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.57 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 308$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Yankees | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 293.51$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 276.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.08 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Yankees | 34c | 218$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 196.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Yankees | 43c | 196.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.71 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 45c | 150.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 150.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 666 | 48.2%321 W · 345 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 130.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 106.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 96.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees | 35c | 92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed New York Yankees | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 75.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed New York Yankees | 52c | 72.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 71.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked New York Yankees | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed New York Yankees | 45c | 68.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 448 | 45.8%205 W · 243 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 219 | 56.6%124 W · 95 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 54.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 53.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed New York Yankees | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed New York Yankees | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 246 | 44.7%110 W · 136 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed New York Yankees | 58c | 40.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 37.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox | 29c | 36.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 25.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 22.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 838 | 54.7%458 W · 380 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 18.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed New York Yankees | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.