Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f479e43a9de1a7a618973707e72e2a64c403a043e59e8d11c5613040f42e0cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SwimTrek Blueof Shopify Rebellion Gold, SwimTrek Blue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0d8…8eafbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 50c | 3,674$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed SwimTrek Blue | 50c | 2,686$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.27 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 54c | 1,509$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.09 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SwimTrek Blue | 45c | 711.39$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.62 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 7c | 658$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 38c | 457.11$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked SwimTrek Blue | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked SwimTrek Blue | 49c | 248.53$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 37c | 213.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked SwimTrek Blue | 50c | 207$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed SwimTrek Blue | 63c | 205$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 44c | 203.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked SwimTrek Blue | 55c | 180.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked SwimTrek Blue | 42c | 179$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…18ffbacked SwimTrek Blue | 57c | 174$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed SwimTrek Blue | 69c | 164.42$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…581bbacked SwimTrek Blue | 49c | 137.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed SwimTrek Blue | 45c | 126.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed SwimTrek Blue | 52c | 104.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked SwimTrek Blue | 50c | 96.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa199…b5b0backed SwimTrek Blue | 61c | 89.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SwimTrek Blue | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed SwimTrek Blue | 52c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked SwimTrek Blue | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 22c | 76.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd1…0ac8backed SwimTrek Blue | 50c | 74.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 50c | 69.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed SwimTrek Blue | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 25c | 51.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 58c | 47.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked SwimTrek Blue | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…1999backed SwimTrek Blue | 50c | 46.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…c4ecbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 51c | 43.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…64b2backed SwimTrek Blue | 52c | 40.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed SwimTrek Blue | 46c | 36.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…2ebabacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 58c | 34.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc77e…0d56backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 68c | 29.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked SwimTrek Blue | 58c | 21.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.