Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x301a7d317c846d07f50ebb7e3238b825988e140bcc441eecd894cab80e358ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Paper Rex | 48c | 1,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.11 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed DRX | 52c | 1,332$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.87 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked DRX | 51c | 798.3$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.13 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Paper Rex | 48c | 410$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed DRX | 53c | 315.78$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Paper Rex | 43c | 267.49$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.78 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Paper Rex | 47c | 260.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Paper Rex | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked DRX | 51c | 200.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed DRX | 57c | 198$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Paper Rex | 49c | 187.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Paper Rex | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed DRX | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed DRX | 53c | 133.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed DRX | 54c | 118.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Paper Rex | 47c | 114$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Paper Rex | 47c | 105.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…c4ecbacked DRX | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed Paper Rex | 49c | 90.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked DRX | 51c | 75.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…c3b2backed Paper Rex | 49c | 73.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Paper Rex | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked DRX | 60c | 56.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked DRX | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked DRX | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed DRX | 54c | 41.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Paper Rex | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Paper Rex | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed DRX | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Paper Rex | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed DRX | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…0a20backed DRX | 55c | 26.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Paper Rex | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed DRX | 52c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.