Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c75e7d6aa65324d73ba500011d6f6c202381fe04f1a33625d273087e4d54c67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked DRX | 1c | 10,361$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Paper Rex | 69c | 1,522$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.03 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed Paper Rex | 73c | 1,509$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.87 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed DRX | 10c | 951.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked DRX | 24c | 916$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…81b0backed Paper Rex | 70c | 764.86$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex | 68c | 750.01$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked DRX | 34c | 721.3$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed DRX | 14c | 708.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed DRX | 29c | 640$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.6 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed DRX | 31c | 568.42$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b7…c8a8backed Paper Rex | 77c | 512.96$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed DRX | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed DRX | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed DRX | 36c | 471.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed DRX | 31c | 463.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.66 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed DRX | 10c | 391.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked DRX | 30c | 391.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed DRX | 30c | 336.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed DRX | 31c | 329.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Paper Rex | 74c | 317.34$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed Paper Rex | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Paper Rex | 64c | 251.92$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked DRX | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked DRX | 27c | 221.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed DRX | 23c | 203$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed Paper Rex | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed DRX | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed DRX | 30c | 186.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Paper Rex | 65c | 182.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked DRX | 18c | 170.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed DRX | 33c | 158$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…eb29backed Paper Rex | 66c | 156.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed Paper Rex | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Paper Rex | 67c | 149.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked Paper Rex | 71c | 149.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked DRX | 27c | 147.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed DRX | 32c | 146.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Paper Rex | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Paper Rex | 73c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DRX | 27c | 122.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed DRX | 27c | 120.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked DRX | 22c | 112.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked DRX | 29c | 110.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed DRX | 27c | 103.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DRX | 31c | 101.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked Paper Rex | 69c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked DRX | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked DRX | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…6eebbacked DRX | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…4b6fbacked Paper Rex | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked DRX | 31c | 98.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked DRX | 33c | 91.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Paper Rex | 76c | 86.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed DRX | 36c | 86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed DRX | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Paper Rex | 64c | 72.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked DRX | 28c | 61.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Paper Rex | 75c | 56.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked DRX | 30c | 55.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed DRX | 26c | 55.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked DRX | 31c | 51.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed DRX | 31c | 50.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…e430backed Paper Rex | 68c | 44.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DRX | 33c | 35.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DRX | 36c | 34.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed DRX | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Paper Rex | 72c | 25.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a3…e599backed Paper Rex | 80c | 25.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Paper Rex | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Paper Rex | 77c | 18.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex | 77c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.