TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof FURIA Esports, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9166…b479backed FURIA Esports46c15,283$6,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,984.97164.8%46 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G2 Esports66c6,977$4,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.153159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports54c3,932$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.2865559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed G2 Esports60c3,319$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.1313355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA Esports21c2,999$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.361,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa233…41f9backed G2 Esports80c2,998$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.791464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked FURIA Esports30c2,748$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.254163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed G2 Esports63c2,727$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.6556357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked FURIA Esports32c2,072$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67110346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed G2 Esports68c2,000$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.9232047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports77c1,421$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.9868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked FURIA Esports23c1,374$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.081250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+58.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed G2 Esports56c1,281$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.1956551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked FURIA Esports28c1,259$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G2 Esports62c1,172$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.2940945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed FURIA Esports40c1,161$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.5122449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Esports54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46046347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed G2 Esports74c900.51$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.4844342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports35c834.55$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29025336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Esports69c813.49$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.861,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed FURIA Esports20c800$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15660022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked FURIA Esports24c687.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+249.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G2 Esports62c625.68$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6153355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked FURIA Esports42c504.95$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2117047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5acf…ead4backed FURIA Esports22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed FURIA Esports32c437.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked G2 Esports48c416.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed G2 Esports48c408.16$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.433357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3bf1…3018backed G2 Esports76c401.78$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f18…1ae2backed G2 Esports48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.25052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports66c374.86$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed FURIA Esports30c356.76$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1621457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaffc…1d31backed FURIA Esports48c332.91$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA Esports45c324$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.681134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x197f…7cc5backed G2 Esports49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.127749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed G2 Esports65c305.34$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8762156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3835…bcacbacked G2 Esports52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe638…40e6backed G2 Esports46c300$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-72.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x253e…84e4backed FURIA Esports55c299.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed FURIA Esports12c295$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.692133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked FURIA Esports40c246.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9838950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a97…7a1bbacked FURIA Esports42c245.19$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.42871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked FURIA Esports31c245.16$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x083f…5c9cbacked G2 Esports58c240$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports11c236.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.121,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked G2 Esports56c225.51$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3322539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA Esports21c219.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed G2 Esports46c216$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FURIA Esports40c207.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.121,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports37c207.84$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.681,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked G2 Esports50c201.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.612250%61 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf19…8869backed FURIA Esports47c197.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.684634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed G2 Esports51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088259.8%49 W · 33 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed G2 Esports47c194$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2866438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2956…85debacked G2 Esports77c191.13$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports66c181.94$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3963955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked FURIA Esports71c168.37$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1412862.5%80 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe92…4215backed G2 Esports55c160.03$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed FURIA Esports57c153.94$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4919439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f7c…8b29backed FURIA Esports44c152.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.581250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked G2 Esports64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2196245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed G2 Esports55c146.6$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.978481%68 W · 16 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4eba…c7d7backed FURIA Esports48c143.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.981428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked FURIA Esports35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed G2 Esports69c141.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1533346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed G2 Esports46c134.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.633743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked FURIA Esports44c125.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.723943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked FURIA Esports51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.233947.8%162 W · 177 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports65c116$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.091,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked FURIA Esports10c105$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.550944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed G2 Esports53c103.59$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4711246.4%52 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked FURIA Esports31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528a…12f1backed G2 Esports47c91.21$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.347143.7%31 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FURIA Esports52c83.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3126650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed FURIA Esports32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511042.7%47 W · 63 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Esports61c78.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4439646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked FURIA Esports24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed FURIA Esports45c74.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3169722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed FURIA Esports31c74.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.151942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed G2 Esports65c72.76$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.312941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc691…3eebbacked FURIA Esports52c72.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FURIA Esports33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.128143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec24…d744backed FURIA Esports32c62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.845841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked G2 Esports37c57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0310341.7%43 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed FURIA Esports45c55.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed G2 Esports59c50.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8417948%86 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed FURIA Esports34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1766650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed G2 Esports53c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6414252.1%74 W · 68 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 Esports49c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6755637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed FURIA Esports34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed FURIA Esports38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1918254.4%99 W · 83 L+22.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed FURIA Esports61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked G2 Esports54c48.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1332157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed G2 Esports58c48.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2865347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked FURIA Esports40c47.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-49.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6581…bff4backed G2 Esports64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd396…6254backed G2 Esports68c45.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.651275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed G2 Esports57c44.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1410548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked G2 Esports48c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.458652.3%45 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked FURIA Esports43c41.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6622440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.