TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, G2 Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9166…b479backed FURIA Esports41c20,685$8,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,156.537164.8%46 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed G2 Esports50c6,720$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.640945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Esports69c5,046$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.841,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d66…ff1dbacked FURIA Esports30c4,725$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked FURIA Esports61c3,143$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.6126650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed FURIA Esports65c2,846$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.541353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed FURIA Esports20c2,500$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 Esports70c2,439$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.0493148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed G2 Esports72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44032047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed FURIA Esports35c2,000$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29122449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Esports47c1,862$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.451,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G2 Esports63c1,592$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.2881134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x571e…2f08backed FURIA Esports34c1,450$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+196.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e9…caedbacked G2 Esports58c1,379$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed G2 Esports66c1,326$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.0356551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports61c1,303$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.0668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed FURIA Esports27c1,159$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.8846347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc303…8129backed FURIA Esports30c1,118$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked G2 Esports58c1,034$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports75c1,011$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.965559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed G2 Esports80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Esports38c976.44$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.888844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed G2 Esports72c972.6$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed G2 Esports24c965.61$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23160022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed G2 Esports47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37614645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed G2 Esports70c729.07$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.5263955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Esports36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G2 Esports63c696.35$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.3353355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked G2 Esports75c655.15$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3612862.5%80 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked FURIA Esports20c515.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.314552.4%76 W · 69 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed FURIA Esports28c515$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.86051.7%31 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed FURIA Esports60c498.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.697456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed G2 Esports50c478.6$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0256357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c2f…d8c2backed G2 Esports22c441.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.242544%11 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed FURIA Esports54c426.72$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8611246.4%52 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked G2 Esports76c395.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002955.2%16 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FURIA Esports46c371.66$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.151,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked FURIA Esports15c366$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.12650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked G2 Esports60c351.02$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2850944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed FURIA Esports29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.833930.8%12 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7100…c12abacked G2 Esports60c331.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G2 Esports60c311.7$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3853159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked FURIA Esports18c311$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.9311044.5%49 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 Esports53c300$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16055637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked G2 Esports72c262.65$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.116445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked FURIA Esports61c262.24$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.863540%14 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed FURIA Esports64c250.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.91275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+56.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed FURIA Esports62c241.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.21785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked G2 Esports70c234.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4296245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7c…8b29backed FURIA Esports41c211.42$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.331250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed FURIA Esports26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14823847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked G2 Esports73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1466867.6%46 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked FURIA Esports26c199.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7938548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0e…2ca8backed FURIA Esports19c198.42$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+112.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed G2 Esports75c192.78$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.798481%68 W · 16 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed FURIA Esports28c188.15$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1521859.2%129 W · 89 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed G2 Esports75c186.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8433346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked FURIA Esports28c174.73$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5210348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed G2 Esports67c173.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5821457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked G2 Esports60c172$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2122539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked G2 Esports76c167$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5238950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked G2 Esports49c163.51$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8290733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA Esports29c162$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0233153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed FURIA Esports63c155.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.473450%17 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked G2 Esports51c149.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5868949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed FURIA Esports15c146.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.441968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+46.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed FURIA Esports61c141.6$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2214852.7%78 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed G2 Esports37c135.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FURIA Esports43c132.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.726235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed FURIA Esports55c131.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3162156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked FURIA Esports68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.412650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed G2 Esports60c116.66$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked FURIA Esports34c111.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6210555.2%58 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed G2 Esports59c102.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6713355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports45c101$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.041,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf957…bcb6backed FURIA Esports29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed G2 Esports76c97.92$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.422941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.2wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked G2 Esports75c92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699455.3%52 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed G2 Esports12c86.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Esports14c85.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9269722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked FURIA Esports34c70$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.28736.8%32 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc691…3eebbacked G2 Esports46c63.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed FURIA Esports16c62.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.543843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked G2 Esports73c59.37$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.153943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed G2 Esports75c50.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked FURIA Esports29c47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5322440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed FURIA Esports35c46.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3966650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed FURIA Esports35c46.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.396952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked G2 Esports42c43.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2216420.1%33 W · 131 L-20.1wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-49.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked G2 Esports54c43.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4332157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed FURIA Esports27c42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6914345.5%65 W · 78 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed FURIA Esports60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6710548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked G2 Esports55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed FURIA Esports53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.916457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G2 Esports72c39.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07df…9f0cbacked G2 Esports79c37.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.854146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed G2 Esports51c37.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2865347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed G2 Esports73c33.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.15248.1%25 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda53…8e88backed G2 Esports72c30.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x644b…62e6backed G2 Esports70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.