TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Strael-Bora - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
The Last Resortof The Last Resort, Strael-Bora
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,136
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,136 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd487…053ebacked Strael-Bora63c1,477$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.944456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked The Last Resort74c1,135$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.95,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Strael-Bora32c1,100$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked The Last Resort67c1,068$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.834542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Strael-Bora26c983.6$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.991,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f1a…4e8fbacked The Last Resort48c699.52$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.291764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed The Last Resort64c690.99$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.175,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Strael-Bora44c535.28$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.211942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Strael-Bora50c522.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.263,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Strael-Bora31c512.51$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.953,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed The Last Resort59c358.39$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.421,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked The Last Resort30c338$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.66944.9%31 W · 38 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed Strael-Bora35c310.52$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3519035.8%68 W · 122 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Strael-Bora38c292.07$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.842,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed The Last Resort49c244$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.841,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Strael-Bora41c212.18$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.823,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Strael-Bora47c209.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.152,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed The Last Resort59c199.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8231749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked The Last Resort64c180.69$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.884,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Strael-Bora37c171.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1575245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked The Last Resort67c150.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2815346.4%71 W · 82 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc916…6371backed Strael-Bora64c146.81$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.211776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed The Last Resort34c135.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7862248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Strael-Bora18c123.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.232,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Strael-Bora40c123.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1911551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Strael-Bora34c101$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.011,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Strael-Bora32c82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.32,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed Strael-Bora33c75.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9815823.4%37 W · 121 L-18.0wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Strael-Bora32c74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.681,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Strael-Bora34c74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.872,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23df…3df7backed The Last Resort64c72.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.433145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Strael-Bora60c67.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.741,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed Strael-Bora43c65.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0419468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed The Last Resort44c58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.262,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5275…9379backed The Last Resort23c52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.895851.7%30 W · 28 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Strael-Bora44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.938131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Strael-Bora24c44.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7791945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Strael-Bora32c39.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.612,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed The Last Resort53c36.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8149850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed The Last Resort49c34.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7219142.4%81 W · 110 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed The Last Resort49c34.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.452,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed The Last Resort46c33.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1270042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c19…6d8abacked The Last Resort77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.853455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed Strael-Bora41c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.487837.2%29 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f98…cb91backed Strael-Bora55c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36743.3%29 W · 38 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed The Last Resort49c20.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4123526.4%62 W · 173 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb47…4737backed Strael-Bora55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112176%92 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed Strael-Bora64c19.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.747915.2%12 W · 67 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-56.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd1c…3f79backed The Last Resort61c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.112245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Strael-Bora60c16.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.073336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked The Last Resort66c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.512,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.