CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Strael-Bora (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8babaeb94e59a2b20c9849c2582374d6c33cbad09add0340569cd9ad78129aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Last Resortof The Last Resort, Strael-Bora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Strael-Bora | 15c | 2,733$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.61 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Strael-Bora | 14c | 1,933$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.58 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Strael-Bora | 16c | 1,169$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Strael-Bora | 26c | 944.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Strael-Bora | 14c | 738.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Strael-Bora | 25c | 590.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Strael-Bora | 15c | 521.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…f32dbacked Strael-Bora | 16c | 498$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…33a4backed Strael-Bora | 16c | 477.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7699…2ef6backed Strael-Bora | 11c | 414.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…8f17backed Strael-Bora | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Strael-Bora | 16c | 374$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Strael-Bora | 15c | 373.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Strael-Bora | 23c | 327.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Strael-Bora | 16c | 306.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc778…8badbacked Strael-Bora | 16c | 297$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…cf1ebacked Strael-Bora | 15c | 293.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed The Last Resort | 77c | 231.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked The Last Resort | 72c | 226.25$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Strael-Bora | 14c | 209.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked The Last Resort | 79c | 189.17$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed The Last Resort | 78c | 175.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Strael-Bora | 16c | 139.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Strael-Bora | 18c | 137.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Strael-Bora | 15c | 118$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked The Last Resort | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Strael-Bora | 13c | 86.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Strael-Bora | 15c | 86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Strael-Bora | 14c | 80.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Strael-Bora | 15c | 74.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed The Last Resort | 77c | 49.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked The Last Resort | 79c | 29.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked The Last Resort | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed The Last Resort | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed The Last Resort | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Strael-Bora (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Strael-Bora - Map 1 WinnerThe Last Resort won
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Strael-Bora - Map 2 WinnerThe Last Resort won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs Strael-Bora (+1.5)The Last Resort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.