TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Over68c28,980$19,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,132.699239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked Under34c14,110$4,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.34911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick51cpaid-75.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under20c10,339$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.4787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under29c9,186$2,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,663.951752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c8,275$4,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,064.8999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Under47c5,571$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,618.173531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over50c5,235$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.9998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over50c4,371$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over50c4,300$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15019044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under47c3,112$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.765743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9927837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c2,339$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.493,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under20c2,107$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.0316437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over78c1,933$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.521030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under29c1,919$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.491010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-83.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Over52c1,708$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under26c1,403$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick33cpaid+231.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under20c1,364$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.731631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under64c1,320$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c1,215$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.4772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5881145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under32c1,038$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0624046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Under47c989$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.2740%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over51c984.44$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.3891553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over53c970.25$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.723268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under48c635.54$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.0612951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over59c585.6$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.952548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Over74c583.18$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.781020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under27c550.72$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over53c532.4$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2371443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under21c531$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.184955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2959747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0366…a001backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.121547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under37c476.15$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.822841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under31c460$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7336646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4d…51a0backed Over53c437.06$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under50c371.04$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0370249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under28c346.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3231446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over47c326$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.784242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Under47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over53c304.02$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.821,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c281$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.781,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under50c274.6$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.313347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over73c270.71$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.231963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over51c256$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4427047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over32c240$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.217137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over75c234.43$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.435658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Over71c205.83$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.762466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over49c205.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.614652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-60.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under51c196.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed Under29c194.34$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.141968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Under24c189.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.125440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c177.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1682044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under62c164.15$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022425%6 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over53c155.05$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5711144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Under34c147.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Under22c141$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.372661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over46c121.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.583622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d0…6cbabacked Under34c110.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6850%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over41c110$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.210249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Under47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.292751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under21c105.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over23c104.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.212634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under49c97.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8525851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over54c96.37$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.335050%25 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over53c94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1847240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Under48c93.25$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.763043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over51c89$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under40c76.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7753040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.171040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under43c68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2444350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over30c66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.25133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Over50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Under65c65.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under39c64.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.232972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Under48c62.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c58.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under60c51.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.854850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over44c50.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2868150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.344447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3235247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under40c47.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7623953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over49c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3130735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under50c40.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9419056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba02…7dd2backed Over76c39.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.462568%17 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under40c37.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.985350.9%27 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over70c35.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6512839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under46c28.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.224238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under55c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.417244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.