Mls · resolved market
Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb0e7a13347a03d4e6cea25f1a2255a4718a1e74b6ff4ce943d64dc976ab4a43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed No | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 1,033$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.22 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 55c | 852.11$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.45 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 48c | 676.22$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.59 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 44c | 348$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 314.09$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 311.16$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.34 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…613fbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 41c | 195.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 58c | 127.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 57c | 123.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked No | 44c | 114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 60c | 109.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 56c | 89.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 78.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 75.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Yes | 55c | 66.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 62.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 52c | 61.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 38c | 58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 46c | 50.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…2c9bbacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 45c | 35.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 56c | 32.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 59c | 24.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Yes | 58c | 23.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: New York City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. New York City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)New York City FC won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.