CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Asian Open Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b78a1eb60dd9af4dee511f48e1145608a3716bec94ab0cf40d6e42a78bb14a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaleido Gamingof 5star, Kaleido Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1242…9077backed 5star | 0c | 47,062$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed 5star | 1c | 5,070$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 5star | 7c | 3,507$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.02 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed 5star | 10c | 1,953$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed Kaleido Gaming | 55c | 1,048$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed 5star | 45c | 926.49$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.92 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed 5star | 4c | 610$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed 5star | 2c | 471.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed 5star | 13c | 387.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed 5star | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Kaleido Gaming | 41c | 179$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Kaleido Gaming | 54c | 139.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed 5star | 43c | 50.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 530 | 55.5%294 W · 236 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 53c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Kaleido Gaming | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Kaleido Gaming | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Kaleido Gaming | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed 5star | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Asian Open Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 1 WinnerKaleido Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 2 WinnerKaleido Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.