Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e5dc0e2685bd175300b41f3c06e59d3c59ec30b2420d2a750bd4eae43ef66c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 12,830$9,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 45c | 7,083$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.95 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 6,047$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.26 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 42c | 3,776$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.1 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked No | 54c | 1,721$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 1,579$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.17 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 46c | 1,529$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.72 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked No | 54c | 1,490$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.24 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 5c | 1,456$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed No | 55c | 1,389$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…03adbacked No | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +583.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 2c | 944.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 933.51$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.9 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed No | 53c | 873.49$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed No | 53c | 846.51$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.7 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e207backed No | 11c | 750$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…529cbacked No | 54c | 726.16$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.13 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 717.81$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.73 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 45c | 686.73$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.7 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed No | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…19ffbacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 489.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…f420backed No | 9c | 466.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 54c | 391.45$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.38 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…3fd0backed No | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 37.3%59 W · 99 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 38c | 353.36$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…0181backed Yes | 58c | 345.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c7…df00backed Yes | 57c | 296.46$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.48 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 258.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked No | 8c | 227.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 46c | 191.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…c216backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…f73abacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c42…82debacked Yes | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 53c | 164.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 54c | 162$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 57c | 108.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 54c | 87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 46c | 79.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…f7f8backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 55c | 66.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…2c77backed Yes | 59c | 59.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8689…fc6dbacked Yes | 44c | 50.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 45c | 42.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…6dddbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 46c | 39.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…aee3backed Yes | 46c | 31.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 54c | 30.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a87…b9a9backed No | 54c | 28.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 28.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 54c | 25.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil to win the second half?this page
- Brazil vs. Japan: Second half draw?No won
- Japan to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.