Fifa International · resolved market
United States to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6431ad3e7007b8f16260dbb1e1bc867048f37b383e8688331046c4b84bf332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 59c | 41,591$24,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,226.17 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 43c | 21,185$9,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,089.1 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 41c | 16,666$6,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,833.05 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 59c | 14,770$8,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115.96 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 45c | 11,425$5,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120.99 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 39c | 8,400$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.82 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 72c | 7,657$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Yes | 57c | 4,230$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.84 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 60c | 4,142$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.55 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed No | 42c | 3,700$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 54c | 3,404$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.94 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 40c | 1,825$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.91 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 13c | 1,704$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed No | 42c | 1,689$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 42c | 1,480$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.34 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked No | 41c | 1,430$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.85 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 1,421$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.59 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked No | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 1,188$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…d62cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ab…cdafbacked No | 3c | 961.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +445.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…8f23backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 59c | 757.15$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.15 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5cbfbacked No | 42c | 668.1$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…1225backed Yes | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 30c | 617.31$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.84 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…529cbacked No | 43c | 568$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 41c | 519.67$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.07 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 59c | 510.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.51 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Yes | 71c | 507.63$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed No | 40c | 503$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…3797backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 41c | 481$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.21 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…3904backed No | 42c | 299.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 68c | 296.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 20c | 292$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 42c | 239.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 41c | 222.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 38c | 221.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 57c | 220$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed No | 36c | 211.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 43c | 204$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f1…885dbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…6599backed Yes | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 58c | 151$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 20c | 131.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 124.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 57c | 124$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked Yes | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 58c | 113.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 41c | 109.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 56c | 109.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 30c | 109$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…e971backed Yes | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 29c | 101.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 38c | 93.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f1…96febacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked No | 63c | 83.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Yes | 49c | 81.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 43c | 79.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…d39fbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 75.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 20c | 73.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 16c | 73.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 42c | 69.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 42c | 66.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…1db9backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked No | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 39c | 51.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 42c | 51.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…be14backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 238 | 63.4%151 W · 87 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 43c | 48.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…50bcbacked Yes | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7f…cc9bbacked Yes | 58c | 41.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…d6e6backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 59c | 37.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…c9d6backed Yes | 59c | 32.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 57c | 32.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States to win the second half?this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina to win the second half?No won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.