Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2f7d1b25de25ca0b7126e57e4aafd090ff5a5608e2e983168ac546df0cfdf23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 72c | 47,759$34,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,518.29 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 28c | 35,366$10,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,333.85 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 28c | 22,400$6,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,127.99 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 22,324$13,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,864.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 63c | 21,987$13,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,764.15 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 30c | 12,388$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,649.08 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 67c | 11,390$7,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.84 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 13c | 7,742$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.91 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 29c | 5,741$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.96 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 75c | 4,649$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.39 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 72c | 3,000$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yes | 71c | 2,880$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.32 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed No | 29c | 2,699$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 25c | 2,497$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.26 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 2,482$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.29 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 54c | 2,400$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.24 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 27c | 2,144$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.29 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 1,643$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.99 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed No | 28c | 1,593$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 27c | 1,486$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.32 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked No | 29c | 1,440$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.31 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 28c | 1,326$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.76 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked Yes | 72c | 1,315$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.4 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 47c | 1,302$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.92 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 71c | 1,281$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.21 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 74c | 1,241$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.59 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 1,172$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.52 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5cbfbacked No | 29c | 1,120$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed No | 26c | 1,092$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 71c | 1,008$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.84 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…66b2backed Yes | 62c | 999.98$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6a2dbacked No | 28c | 996.85$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 73c | 911.73$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.46 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…20dcbacked Yes | 36c | 814.25$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 44c | 749.51$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.47 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 25c | 739.17$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.38 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 42c | 708.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…5657backed Yes | 76c | 665.01$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…d67dbacked No | 26c | 642.14$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Yes | 72c | 622.56$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.24 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 610.48$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 28c | 600.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.39 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked No | 28c | 595$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Yes | 77c | 485$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 29c | 469.46$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.16 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 30c | 464.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 29c | 461.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.45 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 29c | 461.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 28c | 445.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.06 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…529cbacked No | 28c | 405$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.45 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc19…c313backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2c00backed Yes | 33c | 393.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 78c | 384.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed No | 28c | 382.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.14 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed No | 30c | 358.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 27c | 329.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.13 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked No | 28c | 308.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…4d09backed Yes | 36c | 305.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…4245backed Yes | 74c | 304.01$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.97 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 28c | 281.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.68 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…ba07backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…b45cbacked Yes | 73c | 259.03$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.04 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…4ba3backed Yes | 74c | 245.95$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 33c | 238$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 30c | 221.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.95 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 48c | 220.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.32 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 28c | 199.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 71c | 199$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.27 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 27c | 196.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…53c1backed Yes | 73c | 189.04$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…c02dbacked Yes | 44c | 181.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…ed54backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…9fd7backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 54c | 170.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b3…3783backed Yes | 8c | 169.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…dc3ebacked Yes | 13c | 156.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Yes | 71c | 153.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…4c05backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 74c | 140$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…1dadbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…3896backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…1a8ebacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…3a29backed Yes | 74c | 132.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 58.9%76 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 76c | 130.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b1…460fbacked Yes | 46c | 130.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 60c | 125.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 27c | 120.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 27c | 107.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 70c | 105.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 28c | 104$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…e173backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…16aabacked Yes | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to win the second half?this page
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Second half draw?No won
- Cabo Verde to win the second half?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.