Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0e9209c87cbf927f3322fd436953d18a88d670ba0606036e66424d35a428e1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 2,022$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.54 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 1,463$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.36 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Yes | 22c | 1,431$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 1,298$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.65 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 76c | 1,255$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 24c | 1,130$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 78c | 999.98$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 21c | 666$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.15 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 552.13$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 23c | 549.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed No | 78c | 542.63$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Yes | 21c | 530$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 76c | 498.48$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 426$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…0184backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 402.62$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.73 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 24c | 340.92$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 29c | 339$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 335.34$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 77c | 334.47$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 25c | 268.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 254.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 72c | 236.26$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yes | 25c | 226$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 220.87$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yes | 25c | 219.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 77c | 200.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 24c | 184.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 27c | 180.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 64c | 141.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 64c | 141$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked No | 76c | 127$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 21c | 124$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yes | 26c | 105.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes | 24c | 103$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 82.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yes | 21c | 76.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 77c | 76.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Yes | 24c | 75.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 22c | 72.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 22c | 56.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 75c | 44.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…3b30backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Yes | 26c | 44.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 36.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 78c | 31.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 78c | 26.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 76c | 22.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 75c | 18.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 17.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 78c | 14.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…2b28backed No | 77c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 77c | 13.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Second half draw?this page
- Argentina to win the second half?No won
- Cabo Verde to win the second half?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.