Fifa International · resolved market
Cabo Verde to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7cc163d910da3a7dc9386f8ecb457d6e8dc3ac49078e65cc7e2229a4d5defbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 2,508$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055e…7b08backed Yes | 7c | 1,514$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +251.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 41c | 820.21$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.32 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 33c | 384.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes | 33c | 365$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed Yes | 68c | 294.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 78c | 290.43$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.41 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 44c | 286.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked Yes | 5c | 230.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.31 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 61c | 215.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 5c | 205.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 19c | 188$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…3896backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf24a…45b1backed Yes | 36c | 137.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 135.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 35c | 119$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 61c | 109$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 18c | 95.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 35c | 93.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…44bfbacked Yes | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yes | 36c | 70.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yes | 33c | 63.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 44c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 31.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cabo Verde to win the second half?this page
- Argentina to win the second half?No won
- Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.