TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over62c10,458$6,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,997.9828940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c6,990$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,525.438,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over66c6,453$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.752,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under34c4,440$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.2220036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under39c4,065$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.9331136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under32c3,341$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.2910250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under32c1,598$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.9455250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.871,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under38c1,315$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.72,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c1,314$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.71,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ec…c077backed Under13c1,199$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under40c939.58$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.834252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Over76c920.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.043935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under38c908.44$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.861,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c894.98$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.041,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under38c885.28$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.411,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c6…4727backed Over43c880.18$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.731353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over61c822.21$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.481,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.741330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.686668.2%45 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under40c641.53$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.465042%21 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under37c639$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5831039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under38c637$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0644843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over68c636.62$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under37c631.18$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.541,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over71c611.96$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6850643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c593.27$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.181,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over64c559.06$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2921765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under43c549.17$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.529037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over69c539.79$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…7d37backed Under39c517$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.74346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over55c499.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.993756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under53c397.92$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9126835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over76c384.61$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3116051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under38c384$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.217951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over59c328$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.932,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c312.07$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.33,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under30c311.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2819155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under41c267.87$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over68c265.94$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over68c250.87$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.335046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under13c240$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under27c229.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5335240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Under28c215.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.012128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under38c202$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8378756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde92…8159backed Over78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under20c189.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.521936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Under39c175.87$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.07944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9fa…753dbacked Over78c175$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Over61c163.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.941758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.935248.1%25 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.55547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Over61c149.2$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.192650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48fb…ced4backed Under14c136.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa282…ce1bbacked Over67c128.36$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under39c127.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.662,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over71c122.46$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.825,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over43c115$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.625147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over61c114.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.753860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under19c110.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8489846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Under25c101.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over63c101.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.597347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3741654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb9…4718backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.369158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under24c84.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over62c83.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.897156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Over60c83.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.061442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under39c81.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.783132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under49c80.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.161442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under40c79.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.563256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over74c77.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.254858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under46c71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7372058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005b…3c81backed Under47c69.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e2…f597backed Under44c63.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc60…6c08backed Under27c62.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Over66c58.8$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.993743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under39c56.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Over63c53.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1419164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd77…b02bbacked Over66c46.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed Under40c45.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.382441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8b…1b3abacked Over43c45.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under37c43.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1263061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over73c41.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.337467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under38c38.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.784040%16 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under39c37.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7534155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6458…2a3bbacked Under40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under43c37.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162882.1%23 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over61c36.07$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.074862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed Under37c35.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.236256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under53c34.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over61c34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.261,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under36c32.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8411944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under38c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.521359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.87241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over61c24.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.