TailMyPicks
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Club Pueblaof CF Cruz Azul, Club Puebla
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed CF Cruz Azul37c16,042$5,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,861.872,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Club Puebla55c6,756$3,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.838863.6%56 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Club Puebla53c4,742$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed CF Cruz Azul48c4,741$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.4751749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Club Puebla64c3,094$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.998,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2627…fa13backed Club Puebla53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Club Puebla52c2,224$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Club Puebla52c2,071$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.0513049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Club Puebla53c1,192$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.131457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed CF Cruz Azul47c1,063$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.912,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed CF Cruz Azul37c901.76$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5528940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb341…88e7backed Club Puebla53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+65.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Club Puebla52c698.16$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.811,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed CF Cruz Azul25c605.14$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7751945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Club Puebla52c507.69$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6911763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed CF Cruz Azul39c457.53$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x850f…b208backed CF Cruz Azul47c456.1$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked CF Cruz Azul48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Puebla80c416.05$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.62,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Club Puebla53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked CF Cruz Azul25c399.63$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0748547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed CF Cruz Azul47c384.04$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.51,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Club Puebla52c364.57$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.761,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Club Puebla79c360.95$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7655250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked CF Cruz Azul26c295.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6150643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Club Puebla76c274.79$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.855,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Club Puebla52c262$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Club Puebla65c256.72$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Club Puebla52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked CF Cruz Azul33c222.55$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed CF Cruz Azul48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed CF Cruz Azul48c205.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4255946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked CF Cruz Azul49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Club Puebla58c203$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x508f…775fbacked Club Puebla53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked CF Cruz Azul31c199.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Club Puebla53c198$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.061060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Club Puebla52c188$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed CF Cruz Azul48c175.77$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.371,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked CF Cruz Azul48c172.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Club Puebla52c156.86$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.29520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked CF Cruz Azul48c146.88$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.59158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Club Puebla65c146.08$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.641330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bf2…5448backed Club Puebla53c132$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Club Puebla53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Club Puebla65c124.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.771,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf762…e14fbacked Club Puebla57c124$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Club Puebla51c122.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.828551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb109…d40fbacked Club Puebla70c111.31$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.391266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked CF Cruz Azul42c110.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.791,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Club Puebla53c108$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed CF Cruz Azul48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505248.1%25 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde18…e863backed CF Cruz Azul48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed CF Cruz Azul48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Club Puebla52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Club Puebla53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked CF Cruz Azul48c89.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.892650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04e2…38febacked Club Puebla52c77.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Club Puebla65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked CF Cruz Azul45c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Club Puebla53c67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.49425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed CF Cruz Azul47c66.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.461,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Club Puebla53c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Club Puebla51c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3870055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Club Puebla52c59.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.381154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Club Puebla54c58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.683043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Club Puebla53c56.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Club Puebla80c54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.872258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x038f…ecc5backed CF Cruz Azul40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.281040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b13…2f02backed Club Puebla53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Club Puebla52c44.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.559056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Club Puebla53c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+15.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed CF Cruz Azul48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Club Puebla52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.410751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Club Puebla78c35.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7519164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Club Puebla53c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Club Puebla42c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5619150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…0827backed Club Puebla53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Club Puebla41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.715143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Club Puebla48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.64351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd8…e4d5backed Club Puebla52c29.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Club Puebla53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.631457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Club Puebla43c28.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.253132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe2…380fbacked Club Puebla53c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed CF Cruz Azul48c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.484763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Club Puebla53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Club Puebla54c25.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6817255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Club Puebla52c25.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.181947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed CF Cruz Azul49c25.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.354170.7%29 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed CF Cruz Azul47c21.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2315651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf75…099fbacked Club Puebla52c20.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Club Puebla52c20.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.756543.1%28 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Club Puebla51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.87241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Club Puebla52c19.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3742562.4%265 W · 160 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Club Puebla67c16.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6263261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x967f…c8d3backed Club Puebla64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.