TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over30c18,780$5,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,631.295,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under71c11,842$8,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.612,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over38c8,290$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,188.2728940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under68c7,307$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.971172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c4,143$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.451,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c2,889$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.468,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under62c1,800$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.751,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over31c1,566$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.33,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.52171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under65c1,381$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.055457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Over53c1,222$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over35c1,072$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under68c1,014$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.7810364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3804431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c907.39$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5421752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Over13c866.06$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.132128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under61c819$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.412,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4522049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under62c776.6$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.111,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c762.14$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.261,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over50c757.42$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.8426835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c678.39$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.571,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c637.92$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.741,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over34c610.5$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.912,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under68c595.02$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8748547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53de…409abacked Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed Over29c552.72$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.373016.7%5 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over51c525.58$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4212156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed Over51c510.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over37c510$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.267342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over9c476.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9310618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under65c448.65$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4251945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over39c431.83$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under73c384$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2144843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under68c363.19$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.731,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over39c333$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.871020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f1…a504backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over26c264.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8655250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over32c230.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.848746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under61c196$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4431039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under62c196$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9878756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over16c178.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3218426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over31c170.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over31c161.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under62c161$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.184443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Over31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over31c138.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434938.8%19 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under62c128$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6417951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under67c119.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.48755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under56c116$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4935246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Over36c111.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Over31c106.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccb9…4718backed Under79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7098…1d97backed Over54c93.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over39c92.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747a…766dbacked Under61c86.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.732100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ec…4133backed Under63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under71c77.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5335240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under65c74.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under61c72.31$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over43c71.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8999259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under66c69.61$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under65c66.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.111,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under64c66.49$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.894040%16 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Under62c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under61c62.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5342462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Under71c62.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.15560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Over36c59.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.452650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over33c57.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1816845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under61c51.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4219164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Over23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-61.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over30c47.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over26c46.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.892,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01db…2922backed Over34c43.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under67c43.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over27c43.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.671741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over38c42.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.982,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over35c42.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7967548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under48c40.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1319150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.410352.4%54 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Under60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under78c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under56c38.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.084153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6458…2a3bbacked Over39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over29c35.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over47c34.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.181,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over41c29.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.214858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Under62c26.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.254763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9faf…7d1fbacked Under57c26.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under62c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6521359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.623253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf809…2ef1backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Under63c19.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.34170.7%29 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.