TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,167 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over11c11,095$1,252 inLost-$1,252.258,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over8c5,378$413 inLost-$413.445,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Over5c892.8$43 inLost-$43.392128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over11c600.92$66 inLost-$66.212,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over22c582.69$130 inLost-$130.2655250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Under79c399.45$316 inWon+$83.881844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over21c333$70 inLost-$69.931020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over21c294.84$61 inLost-$61.061,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Over4c288.25$11 inLost-$11.419164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over21c238$50 inLost-$49.985815.5%9 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under79c226.54$179 inWon+$47.571,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Over21c220.34$46 inLost-$45.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over6c218.18$13 inLost-$12.9995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under75c200$150 inWon+$501675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over21c141$30 inLost-$29.6119135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under79c100$79 inWon+$218668.6%59 W · 27 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under80c91.25$73 inWon+$18.252751.9%14 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over20c86.25$17 inLost-$17.2519711.2%22 W · 175 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under80c77$61 inWon+$15.692,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdba9…2995backed Under74c54.05$40 inWon+$14.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under77c50$39 inWon+$11.535246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under79c25$20 inWon+$5.2570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under79c24.1$19 inWon+$5.061,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under76c20$15 inWon+$4.835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under79c18.54$15 inWon+$3.8910352.4%54 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under80c15.58$12 inWon+$3.122653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.