Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65997561966ba6440e697b7e802f4c35e2c5a7b6f9453b7708e39aaf81667b92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 64c | 30,032$19,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,301.18 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…7ea7backed Yes | 67c | 29,109$19,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,501.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 35c | 12,500$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,124.98 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 35c | 12,342$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,002.82 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 39c | 11,714$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,087.59 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 37c | 11,050$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,962.56 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 24c | 10,378$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.37 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 66c | 6,365$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200.9 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 63c | 4,641$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 33c | 4,497$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.97 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 4,485$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.72 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 71c | 4,456$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.84 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 4,274$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.93 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 52c | 3,761$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 43c | 3,321$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.64 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 64c | 3,154$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.64 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 64c | 3,127$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 36c | 3,081$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.42 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 62c | 2,957$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.22 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 2,735$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.14 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 2,565$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.21 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 36c | 2,476$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.5 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 2,466$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.96 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 36c | 2,446$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.66 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed No | 36c | 2,300$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 35c | 2,075$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.27 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 64c | 2,051$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.34 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 35c | 1,679$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 36c | 1,672$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.33 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 33c | 1,442$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.74 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 48c | 1,442$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.6 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked No | 44c | 1,302$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 47c | 1,238$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.92 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 65c | 1,154$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 4c | 1,060$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 1,041$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.24 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 36c | 1,041$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.24 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 1,041$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.24 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 35c | 981.43$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.3 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 37c | 917.05$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.74 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 64c | 848.81$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.45 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…d02bbacked Yes | 23c | 841.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 3c | 830$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 49c | 755$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.93 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 66c | 753.43$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.24 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bb…2063backed Yes | 65c | 751.26$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 52c | 736.64$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.9 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 50c | 725.25$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.19 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 36c | 700$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 55c | 694.72$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.51 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 66c | 620.23$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.04 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 4c | 612$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 15c | 569$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 75c | 567.84$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 45c | 534.73$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed No | 36c | 520.91$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 35c | 509.89$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.43 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 64c | 505.1$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.66 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 24c | 500$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 51c | 497.04$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 60c | 454$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.82 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 65c | 448$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 442$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.08 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 36c | 416.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.63 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.99 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 33c | 393.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.94 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 45c | 384.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 35c | 377.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.64 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 65c | 349.25$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…79f3backed No | 37c | 346$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed Yes | 3c | 339$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 338.84$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 66c | 330$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 324.32$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 62c | 313.1$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.36 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 50c | 297$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 55c | 290.66$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 62c | 288$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 64c | 265.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 65c | 256$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 63c | 247.48$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 40c | 246.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Yes | 64c | 224$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 34c | 196.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Yes | 64c | 182.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 35c | 174.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 170.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 35c | 161.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes | 65c | 155.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.