Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5add258b2c4aa83739e9d6f459a2bf3aa8f078d57c28f58c8a7749d34a0cc740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 70c | 4,277$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 3,362$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.92 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 2,609$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…168dbacked Yes | 71c | 2,520$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 29c | 2,501$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.07 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 22c | 1,633$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.3 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 29c | 1,583$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.13 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 1,462$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.85 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 31c | 1,021$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.51 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…5478backed Yes | 69c | 999.81$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 5c | 924.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 661.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 30c | 522.69$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 17c | 509.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 7c | 212.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 30c | 183.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005b…3c81backed Yes | 71c | 154.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 17c | 146.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes | 70c | 143.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…e406backed Yes | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 30c | 119.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes | 70c | 111.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2b…be93backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 30c | 73.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…71f4backed Yes | 71c | 54.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 71c | 42.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…8d8fbacked Yes | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 68c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Yes | 71c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-07-12?this page
- Will Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF end in a draw?No won
- Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.