TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under41c14,718$6,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,662.452,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c7,274$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.865,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c5,277$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.988,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over6c4,431$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8757540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over57c2,999$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.922,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over55c2,926$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.9775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c1,884$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.913,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over52c1,810$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.775048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over8c1,750$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3851750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under63c1,610$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.9121752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c1,583$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.71,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under49c1,482$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.457950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c1,421$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.791,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c1,250$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7251,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under26c1,218$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.7112156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c1,200$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2725635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c1,172$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.192,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Over48c1,123$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.081560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked Under42c999.95$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c892$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.361,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under48c738$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.763148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39913049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over19c466.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7311220.5%23 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over14c403.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4315552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over66c369.01$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.521,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over36c360$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3350643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over56c335.07$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6412940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005660.7%34 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over59c306$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5449136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over60c272.42$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over60c267.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9560156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over42c254.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6446449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over44c246.13$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.319135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over6c221.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4619437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under37c200.01$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12612338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over38c196$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0435246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over36c188.88$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under43c185.23$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5818247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over58c174.8$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7933152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over38c172.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7748547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under32c171.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8917051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under72c144.2$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1135240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under38c134.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.216349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under42c130.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.947741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Over62c128.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.915364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over55c128.27$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.551,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under37c127.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.825054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over57c126.49$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6250656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over60c126.3$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over59c121$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over21c112.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.717549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over70c106.57$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.173237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under47c102.72$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.444443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over55c99.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3435046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under42c94.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8919952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over43c92.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.942,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c88.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.72,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over66c86.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.011,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over17c86.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Over19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+44.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under41c78.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.532548%12 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over58c71.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3715554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Under38c58.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.165141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over72c55.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7431355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under44c54.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3738233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over71c52.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5633658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over61c52.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7223044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed Over57c52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.644850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.151945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Over55c49.73$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.516768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under29c49.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.830048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under44c48.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4164633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c47.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Under42c46.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.258453.6%45 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over30c45.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bfa…5e79backed Over56c45.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over57c44.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.178756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over59c43.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5619040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209446.8%44 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a97…90b1backed Over51c41.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.044252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c41…41b2backed Under30c38.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+134.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Over59c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.652045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe682…dbcdbacked Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under33c33.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.556053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Under41c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over57c31.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8411861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under43c30.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.136065%39 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Under42c30.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.413050%15 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.418557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.817951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over41c29.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31456.7%3 W · 42 L-16.3wins-0.36per pick43cpaid-90.1%equal weight24-0.23 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over59c28.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.