TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,555 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under75c34,496$25,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,789.642,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over25c10,682$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.6275240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c10,082$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.435,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under75c6,787$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.6621752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over27c5,741$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.58,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under64c5,213$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.6849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c4,202$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0821,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under58c3,559$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,498.8930048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over34c3,243$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.6219742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011618.1%21 W · 95 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under49c2,982$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.7619155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over28c2,476$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.211,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under53c1,852$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.2712156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over35c1,832$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65014727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under65c1,763$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.161,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over35c1,575$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.317843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over35c1,575$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.319244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under58c1,552$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.7222049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over36c1,265$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.533152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over14c1,263$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6710618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over25c1,213$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1272350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Over40c1,122$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.543342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over35c966.43$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.652,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under65c679.92$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9751749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under74c425$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3348547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over27c392.16$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8250656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under70c390$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6535246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over32c379.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.273,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over29c377.91$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3869453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c356.07$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.562,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over25c355.74$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1546449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over45c347.11$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.611,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under66c296.03$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6518247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over40c274.8$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0823044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over36c257.48$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.388760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under69c249.99$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5951945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under65c237.13$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over41c229.68$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1729047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under72c213.88$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under72c213.86$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8360156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over41c201.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.586053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over46c194.54$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6351750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over41c192$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.726744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over41c188.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.829149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9306…bc66backed Under60c185$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under68c175$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over41c169.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.333246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over40c169.29$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.661643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over35c157.52$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.132458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5378756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over37c103.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2719040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over36c97.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.161,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.754738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Over41c81.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.311741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.084656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over37c77.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.815041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over47c73.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4518446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c67.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8217951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over46c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.315143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Over41c57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.374037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over43c56.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.41,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over39c53.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8816845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under65c53.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under64c52.76$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.022548%12 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcd5…ecbebacked Over35c52.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Under77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under64c50.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.232,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Under64c44.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.23327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under64c42.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.469740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Over41c39.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.222254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under76c38.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.272487.5%21 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick76cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c37.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3825635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under69c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.411861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…dcb1backed Over42c36.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under76c34.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0715364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba71…1209backed Over35c31.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.03560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Under65c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.858453.6%45 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Under73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under71c25.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5226465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1619150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under73c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2772058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under65c20.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under67c17.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.752766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Under64c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.767262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Under80c12.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.56078.3%47 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick80cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.