TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,554 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over9c7,486$644 inLost-$644.358,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c6,230$671 inLost-$670.835,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under79c4,793$3,775 inWon+$1,018.0830048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over11c4,543$487 inLost-$487.243,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over21c2,896$608 inLost-$608.1472350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over9c1,765$159 inLost-$158.861,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Under80c620.69$496 inWon+$124.692572%18 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over20c490.42$97 inLost-$96.9625635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost-$10022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over22c415$92 inLost-$92.0635246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over21c254$53 inLost-$53.3423044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over9c251.49$22 inLost-$21.9633152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over7c243.09$17 inLost-$17.3560156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over7c243.08$17 inLost-$17.495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over12c239.92$30 inLost-$29.5346449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over11c168$18 inLost-$18.482,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over14c157.17$22 inLost-$21.569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over12c139.21$17 inLost-$17.2950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over18c127$23 inLost-$23.0889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over16c116.46$19 inLost-$18.9251750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under79c64.58$51 inWon+$13.8289846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over24c50.4$12 inLost-$12.111,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under80c35.98$29 inWon+$7.22,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.