South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa19400cbd2580240750804d619b8eceeb23ef67bcc51f72a0ce5f27f088631e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Pueblaof CD Guadalajara, Club Puebla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CD Guadalajara | 27c | 10,618$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.58 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Club Puebla | 61c | 10,323$6,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.67 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Puebla | 72c | 3,514$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CD Guadalajara | 38c | 1,966$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CD Guadalajara | 38c | 1,069$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.22 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Club Puebla | 62c | 1,013$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.42 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CD Guadalajara | 39c | 852.75$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.59 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed CD Guadalajara | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CD Guadalajara | 39c | 723$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.87 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CD Guadalajara | 21c | 448.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed CD Guadalajara | 39c | 434.57$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.48 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed CD Guadalajara | 12c | 389.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked CD Guadalajara | 39c | 377$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.38 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CD Guadalajara | 38c | 361$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Club Puebla | 61c | 302$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed CD Guadalajara | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Club Puebla | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Club Puebla | 60c | 191.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Club Puebla | 75c | 186.56$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Club Puebla | 60c | 182.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Club Puebla | 61c | 177.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Club Puebla | 56c | 177.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CD Guadalajara | 15c | 168.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Club Puebla | 76c | 117.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Club Puebla | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Club Puebla | 74c | 107.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Club Puebla | 56c | 106.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked CD Guadalajara | 40c | 99.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Club Puebla | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Club Puebla | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Club Puebla | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Club Puebla | 56c | 70.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CD Guadalajara | 36c | 68.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Club Puebla | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked CD Guadalajara | 41c | 62.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed CD Guadalajara | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed CD Guadalajara | 41c | 60.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CD Guadalajara | 37c | 54.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Club Puebla | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Club Puebla | 56c | 53.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Club Puebla | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Club Puebla | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked CD Guadalajara | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed CD Guadalajara | 39c | 43.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed CD Guadalajara | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Club Puebla | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CD Guadalajara | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Club Puebla | 76c | 33.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Club Puebla | 80c | 28.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Club Puebla | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Club Puebla | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Club Puebla | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)this page
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: Club Puebla O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.