Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2104b370a98abed0ccef854ce5478e512f9cf4fb5e8e8ff036fbceaa2de36887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 6,491$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.21 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 20c | 5,474$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…667dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,263$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 3c | 3,678$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 3,348$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.52 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 20c | 2,856$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 1c | 1,937$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 1,895$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.92 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 3c | 1,284$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,065$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 19c | 842$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 12c | 796.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 783.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 10c | 715.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes | 20c | 714$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 3c | 705.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 20c | 675.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 608.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 80c | 371$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 20c | 294.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 20c | 290.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 80c | 220.7$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 20c | 115.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd93…31d1backed Yes | 20c | 109.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…7acabacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 80c | 73.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b9…255dbacked No | 80c | 70.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd616…b52cbacked Yes | 20c | 61.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 45.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 80c | 42.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed No | 80c | 28.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 79c | 26.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…a6fabacked No | 80c | 19.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 80c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 80c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-06?No won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.