Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80d5d5a0ead8221277995bdaab22846ddbaf80dc90b621c5adb202cd1fe33c8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 68c | 7,159$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,598$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.08 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,504$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.82 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 1,222$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.46 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 32c | 1,068$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.76 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 31c | 900$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 45c | 647.95$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.51 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 80c | 548.29$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Under | 50c | 497.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 34c | 480.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 422.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 68c | 416.17$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 31c | 413.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 33c | 376.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Over | 31c | 346.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Under | 49c | 302.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 72c | 262.52$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 28c | 248.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 53c | 215.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 214$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 32c | 198.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Under | 66c | 195.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Over | 22c | 173.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked Over | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 75c | 147.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 46c | 144.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 69c | 114.62$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…4e46backed Under | 66c | 114.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…84e9backed Under | 68c | 109.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 64c | 95.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 94.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 54c | 90.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 33c | 84.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 24c | 83.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed Under | 66c | 82.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 49c | 78.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Under | 77c | 78.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 77.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 53c | 76.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 74.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Under | 71c | 73.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 30c | 71.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over | 35c | 68.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 37c | 59.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 33c | 59.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 57c | 57.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 19c | 56.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 57c | 53.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 33c | 52.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…5568backed Under | 66c | 51.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 66c | 48.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Under | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 45c | 41.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 50c | 38.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 70c | 30.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 71c | 29.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 65c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Under | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 71c | 28.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Over | 47c | 27.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 26.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dd…d19bbacked Under | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Under | 66c | 21.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 70c | 20.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.