Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8558e36be9b33ff232aabcf09301edbbfde35dc753f58c3dfde975279cb71c21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 2,153$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 1,658$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.81 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 1,437$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.57 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 35c | 910.49$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.67 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 910.4$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 35c | 549$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.59 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 519$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.21 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 59c | 476$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 58c | 458$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 38c | 442.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.35 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 62c | 417.87$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.08 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 27c | 411.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 403.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 42c | 354.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.67 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 6c | 331$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 58c | 218.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 69c | 215.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.4wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 61c | 202.26$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 20c | 199.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 37c | 180$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c03…70d1backed Yes | 73c | 166.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…84cabacked No | 33c | 141.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…45f0backed Yes | 42c | 135.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…b9d9backed Yes | 47c | 129.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked No | 62c | 128.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 62cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 61c | 123$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +15.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…6d59backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 59c | 112$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 33c | 108$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 25c | 105.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 40c | 105$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 56c | 95.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 45c | 92.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked No | 35c | 90.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…d145backed Yes | 72c | 59.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 28c | 50.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 50.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…c293backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 39c | 49.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed No | 58c | 45.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 44.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…dc4fbacked Yes | 57c | 40.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66de…fe04backed Yes | 60c | 33.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 61c | 21.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 61c | 20.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 61c | 19.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 18.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-24?this page
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-24?No won
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.