South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258039466328a35a21c4998ca97dc0f1d60a77c28350912ad3e4d801cf4a2af5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 54c | 2,530$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.36 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 20c | 1,777$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.21 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 44c | 784$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.2 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 46c | 568$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.28 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 565.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.82 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Yes | 26c | 431.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 77c | 339.34$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 9c | 299$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…a1d5backed No | 78c | 285.9$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 226.63$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 213.43$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 18c | 212.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Yes | 25c | 186.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 55c | 153$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 136.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 72c | 134.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 112.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 103.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 44c | 95.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 41c | 85.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Yes | 25c | 64.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 19c | 59.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed No | 49c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 78c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-27?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.