South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a76550e0df19e757893b97b37c61aeda1fde656cfde66aadc27b5d12b279cf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 67c | 1,220$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.6 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 32c | 661$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.52 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 588.91$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 35c | 572.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 353.24$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 4c | 228$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Yes | 32c | 224.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 67c | 219.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yes | 18c | 204.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 6c | 198.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 18c | 197.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 33c | 175$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 32c | 175$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…58f5backed Yes | 30c | 170.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 13c | 154.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 136.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Yes | 31c | 127.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 69c | 124.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 67c | 123.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 15c | 122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 120.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 102.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…4171backed No | 71c | 101.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 67c | 93.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…7e33backed Yes | 29c | 91.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 72c | 89.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 33c | 71.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 26c | 70.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…10e6backed No | 71c | 66.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 64.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 54.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed No | 68c | 51.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 69c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 71c | 40.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 24.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…b29bbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 20.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 71c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-26?Yes won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.