South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce5ff89bf429957c6494c0c5855ddfea3824a8c23498ce128e17fffbcaf3530c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 20c | 16,180$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.92 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 4c | 14,999$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.97 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 7,356$5,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.11 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 4,451$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.02 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 4,322$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.83 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 2c | 2,749$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 20c | 2,189$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.8 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 1,996$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.18 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 1,845$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.03 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 1,653$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.89 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaee…c167backed Yes | 19c | 1,400$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 2c | 1,093$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…6492backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…2410backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 899.43$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.71 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 80c | 770.99$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.2 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 20c | 607$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 4c | 584$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 569$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 537.35$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 21c | 528.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 7c | 527.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 80c | 520$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 80c | 520$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 4c | 474.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Yes | 18c | 427.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 18c | 416.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 6c | 401.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 20c | 345$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 7c | 335.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 80c | 312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 11c | 272.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 255.13$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…1a8dbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes | 6c | 198.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 179.16$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…9f82backed Yes | 19c | 106.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ec…186dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 19c | 86.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 19c | 81.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed Yes | 20c | 64.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed No | 80c | 31.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 25.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 15.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-26?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.