South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5abcdc51e4411441d1e29956acaecb0252136bc8b756810f4e45a88bdbb445f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 23c | 1,905$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.5 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,229$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 1,096$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 999.26$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.83 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 720.57$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.93 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 443.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 292.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 31c | 175$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 125.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 97.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 91.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 90.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 34cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 82.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 73c | 82.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 78c | 78.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 32c | 76.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…85cabacked Yes | 27c | 66.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 20c | 57.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 54.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 77c | 51.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 51.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…3cf5backed Yes | 31c | 47.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 44.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…3b1bbacked No | 80c | 41.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…583bbacked Yes | 25c | 40.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 34c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 64c | 31.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 69c | 26.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 70c | 23.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 22.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 75c | 15.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 78c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-26?No won
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.