South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0f200e59319182aebd94c1c300e1bed6164af275b7925175bdbba97d89e517
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 32c | 2,066$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.63 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 1,714$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.41 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 1,005$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 710.81$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.69 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 599.91$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.94 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 32c | 441.83$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.32 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 41c | 433.62$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 375.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.58 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 308.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 32c | 286.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.14 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 35c | 221.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 32c | 130.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 124.34$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 121.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 51c | 117.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 32c | 92.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked No | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -65%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…f1dbbacked Yes | 77c | 51.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 42.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 33.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed No | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 67c | 29.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 72c | 24.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Yes | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 58c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-26?No won
- Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.