South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5557933a33c6c6fbacd1f625713f4541f6bfdf17d4b28798a0a014f254bd2094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 5c | 3,416$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 28c | 1,924$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,123$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 1,071$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.68 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 73c | 879.45$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.45 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 878.27$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 856.03$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.61 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 38c | 639$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.75 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked No | 47c | 302.05$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 23c | 283.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 66c | 274.68$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.68 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 30c | 266.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.53 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Yes | 7c | 205.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 29c | 159.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b6…f63dbacked No | 32c | 157.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Yes | 66c | 150.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed Yes | 25c | 127.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 32c | 110.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 28c | 102.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4749…321dbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked No | 68c | 73.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…85cabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 64c | 66.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 65.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 51c | 62.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Yes | 20c | 60.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 35c | 55.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 46c | 54.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 54.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 52c | 51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked No | 25c | 44.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 44.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 42c | 43.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 72c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…bf93backed No | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 25.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 74c | 24.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…f35ebacked No | 71c | 18.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 72c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 69c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 73c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-26?Yes won
- Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-05-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.