South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3bf67d5f9d298991e6f34ffc737da8ce57b8aa4d8e4f80de8908beb23a8522d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 22c | 2,078$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 1,951$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.08 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 80c | 1,310$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 22c | 863.64$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed No | 80c | 790.24$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.05 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 759.09$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.16 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 660.23$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 72c | 597.54$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 80c | 525$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 429.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…f3adbacked No | 80c | 380.78$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 30c | 336.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 317.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 303.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 24c | 299.61$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 229.76$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 21c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 20c | 183.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 20c | 183.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 175$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 153.1$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…da5ebacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 21c | 119.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 70c | 115.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 100.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 19c | 71.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 20c | 66.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 79c | 58.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 55.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 20c | 54.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 70c | 43.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…8a82backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…b8dbbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-27?No won
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-05-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.