South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-05-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32998175c43ceca9216d64a179d5bb17e38dd9e3e49d3af5cf7b4851dece2453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 5,150$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 3,116$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 2,098$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes | 15c | 1,960$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,591$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 16c | 761$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.24 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Yes | 72c | 750.58$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 14c | 718$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.48 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed No | 25c | 576.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 42c | 324$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 68c | 249.44$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Yes | 16c | 242.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.49 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 43c | 217.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 56c | 211.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Yes | 11c | 203.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 10c | 190$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 68c | 181.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 65c | 172.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 72c | 170.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 11c | 145.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed Yes | 74c | 135.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 64c | 113.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…e954backed Yes | 11c | 101.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefc…53a0backed Yes | 15c | 100.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +361.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bd…5575backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 93.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9b36backed Yes | 16c | 84.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 47c | 80.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…819cbacked Yes | 15c | 73.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…52adbacked Yes | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 67c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 60c | 66.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 31c | 42.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…ba06backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win on 2026-05-27?this page
- Will Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.