South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a64404f7aa310a04f4810d50ecefe0dc77311a7bd7426b584239b86b2c9d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x180a…54a6backed Yes | 28c | 2,554$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 2,404$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.18 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 2,112$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.48 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 27c | 2,028$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.69 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,544$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.24 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 1,291$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.88 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 28c | 1,281$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.59 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 1,178$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.78 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 684.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 650$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 530$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 317.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 79c | 313.37$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 299.75$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…accbbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 80c | 260.28$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…f3adbacked No | 72c | 254.17$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 20c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 19c | 112$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Yes | 15c | 102.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 29c | 88.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 85.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed No | 72c | 70.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Yes | 27c | 42.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 71c | 36.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 73c | 31.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 73c | 15.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
- Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.