Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf49fa59beb5105a4adf2cf104f1a392bbf79eb5d52ee414391e770581fee4365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 949.63$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.48 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 568.54$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.28 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed Over | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 66c | 366.17$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.67 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 31c | 107.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 32c | 92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfc…521fbacked Under | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 68.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 50c | 64.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 40c | 53.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Over | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Over | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Over | 35c | 50.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Under | 35c | 46.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 43c | 46.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 37c | 40.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 33.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.