Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cd0c0c46f2691896922c7e301fb1ff43f392eda11fe9ae70fdd914b5c70b823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 5,229$3,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.69 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 3,863$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.07 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 3,110$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.74 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 29c | 2,337$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.84 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 1,280$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.27 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,234$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.89 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef3…6c6abacked Yes | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 17c | 945.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 72c | 759.9$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.83 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 609.84$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.95 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…13adbacked Yes | 26c | 584.46$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 547.03$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 23c | 500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 30c | 470$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 465.07$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 71c | 386.35$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 71c | 342.69$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 253.51$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed No | 73c | 243.84$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 71c | 228.77$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Yes | 30c | 222.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 29c | 220.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ea…7ec2backed Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 28c | 187$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 170.26$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a4…6ebebacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 30c | 164.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 21c | 143.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 71c | 136$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…b20ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 80c | 125.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 71c | 119.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 119.12$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 13c | 119.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 25c | 116.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 16c | 100.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…fa63backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 23c | 87.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 77c | 82.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 14c | 74.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb6…1e3abacked Yes | 16c | 63.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed No | 72c | 55.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb36…06c8backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…0eb9backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed No | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 25.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed No | 73c | 21.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff7…b686backed No | 80c | 20.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 73c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.